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Bintumani Statistics Unit
Reply with quote  #1
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #2 
Thanks a lot for setting up the poll

I think you should do it once a month and let it run for about 2-3 Days max at a time so some crafty person with time on their hands doesn’t have the opportunity to log into a lot of computers. That way, we can see if their is a trend.

The surprising result so far, is ADP. No one here seems to say much about them. All one reads about is APC, SLPP, and NGC.

Appears that KKY has a lot of cyber supporters. As we all know, most are based in the diaspora and few will ever vote but what influence will they have on voters back home?
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #3 
32 votes from Bintu Online Constituency
ADP 13% losing out to NGC?
APC 22% tied with SLPP
NGC 38% KKY spoiling the party here for the major parties but Eddie Grant must be pleased
PMDC 6% wonder if these were protest votes
SLPP 22% tied with APC
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #4 
I wonder what happens when the 600 plus Awoko votes and almost 1000 KTV online votes are added to the Bintu votes. Does KKY’s vote percentage go up or down...and what of the Brigadier and the economist, do their vote percentages go up or down?
Cornelius Hamelberg
Reply with quote  #5 

As we say in Krio, “ Power sweet!”

It looks like this is going to be the mother of all elections in peacetime Sierra Leone.

It’s going to be too close to call. If  (a) the illiteracy rate was not so low in Sierra Leone and (b) there was no tribalism in Sierra Leone and I spoke Suso fluently, then Dr. Yumkella would easily win.

At this point, far too many independent candidates.Too many cooks spoil the broth  - in this case , spoil the jackit tombo,  there are people who will probably split the Southern vote and that’s why like the prodigal son Charles Margai should go back to  the home that he came from , the home where he truly belongs and to do that he has to patch things up with the SLPP ogas who when push comes to shove will forgive him his truancy. It’s easily done.

Too many crooks also spoil the broth. The Northern vote is already split for sure, unless someone prevails upon Mohamed Kamarainba Mansaray to come to his senses since he’s sufficiently good at maths to add up all the palm trees in the country and come to the sane conclusion that they are a danger to the survival of the APC prolonging their mandate period at the State House, without him him going back home to where he belongs, i.e. the APC!  

Maybe Ernest O’Bai can do the trick if he hands over to Mohammed Kamarainba Mansaray, a load of money. APC money. If O’Bai doesn’t have any then he could beg, borrow or steal some from his good friend John Sesay, who could have easily bankrolled the APC to victory if he had emerged  as the the flag bearer after the Makeni Convention.

Otherwise, my little jinni assures me  that  when the dust of battle finally settles Maada Bio is going to be the next President of Sierra Leone. I hope that he makes a good choice of running mate.

Bearing in mind  whatäs happening in Kenya right now  this should be of interest to you and to  Dr. Christiana Thorpe

Professor Attahiru Jega on election management and democracy

Teacher Lambert
Reply with quote  #6 
Bra Cornie, as usual, interesting analysis.  I think the Brigadier is the only candidate that would not share the Southern and Eastern votes with any one. The North and the western area   are going to experience a scramble that equates to the scramble for Africa in the period of New Imperialism between 1881 and 1914.  The Brigadier will surely hold his own if reports that PortLoko, Kambia and parts of the Western area are now turning green.  Interesting elections, come March 2018.
Reply with quote  #7 
"The Brigadier will surely hold his own if reports that PortLoko, Kambia and parts of the Western area are now turning green."   Teacher Lambert

Do not count on those "reports" ...they just might end up being rumors. Port Loko for Bio? No Port Loko is NOT that angry with Makeni. Lol
Western Area for Bio? a pipe dream!
Sidom Look
Reply with quote  #8 
2018 is for Maada Bio to lose.  Sidom look how Temnes will vote for Bio en masse.
Reply with quote  #9
Reply with quote  #10 
Kandeh Kolleh Yumkella, the man with a heavy baggage of pedigree, if you like, should not be underestimated considering the growing number of Sierra Leoneans that have become disenchanted and disaffected with the status quo. An eloquent and seasoned campaigner since his student days, the former UN head at UNIDO and Sustainable Energy for ALL, will without a shadow of doubt make his mark come 2018, the tribally polarised nature of Sierra Leone politics notwithstanding.

It is very welcome, albeit rather late after flirting with the idea of eclipsing Julius Maada Bio in the grand old Sierra Leone Peoples Party (SLPP), to see him join the likes of Mohamed Kamarainba Mansary in following the footsteps of Charles Margai in the noughties and Thaimu Bangura and Karefa Smart in the nineties in attempting to throw the cat among the pigeons of the establishment parties.

My only hope is that he will be in it for the long haul and braced himself for any number of iterations in having a shot at the Presidency. I believe strongly that sooner or later, the penny will drop in the depth of the national conciousness that over 50 years of APC and SLPP rule has been two decade too long, has been a mirage and a failed experiment. 

What i do not want to see is Kandeh using the 2018 elections to piggyback his way and join the gravy train. I have no shadow of doubt that he will be the kingmaker in 2018. He should resist a Thaimu Bangura-esque or Charles Margai-esque temptation to prolong the sufferings of the majority of the people of Sierra Leone by ganging up with one of the two establishment parties to continue their field day of econonmic incompetence, sleaze, chronic cronysim and the widening polarisation of our people along tribal lines.

The ruling APC party candidate for 2018, Samura Wilson Kamara, is the quintessential system man or the public face of the status quo. He has been in the thick of formulating economic policy tools in his capacity as Financial Secretary, Bank Governor and Finance Minister yet his fruits for his efforts include a ballooning national debt on the back of a credit binge, an alarmingly depreciating currency and rising unemployment. The value-for-money of the touted infrastructure projects, basically in the form of roads, in the country is questionable. Yet, he has been selected,undemocratically, by the current President, Ernest Bai Koroma, as the financial or economic guru to take the country forward to another level. 

The SLPP candidate, Maada Bio, who has always been on the cosh with regards to alleged sleaze and human rights violations during his NPRC days as well as issues with the US immigration, has yet again mobilised and gained the confidence of his South East grassroots base even though his outcome in 2012 was the worst SLPP proportion of the national vote in an electon. 

I am pretty sure he will keep beating the drum about: him being the "Usherer of Democracy" and has already earned his badges, even chairing meetings in the presence of Samura Kamara and Kandeh Yumkella, in his various roles in the NPRC culminating in his three months as Head of State. Critics, cynics and distractors could fire straight back and that his career or lack thereof has been chequered since.

He still fancies, his chances, though, even when history tells us that no one can win an election in Sierra Leone if one could not not carry the Western Area with  to back up any Southern or Northern stronghold. Maada's best bet is to to curry favour from KKY or MKK to see off the ruling APC.

Hajj Money
Reply with quote  #11 
APC tiff man dem ehn dem generations get for perish  in hell!
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #12 
All these online polls have KKY way ahead so I have been looking for a poll that is not online and is based on actual sampling.

Check out Popular Expression News rolling polls

They claim they actually call a few hundred people on Africell network. These obviously must be people on the ground.

I can not vouch for their credibility of these polls but if anyone can, please enlighten us.

I am posting the link for the first poll they released on October 27, 2017. It is on page 7. To get more recent polls, scroll to the bottom of the page and click page 6, review it, then page 5 and so on.
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #13 
The same newspaper has an online poll that shows KKY way ahead a stark difference between the poll numbers obtained by calling people
Reply with quote  #14 
@Specky, I think Yumkella is doing far better than the SLPP hierarchy seem to realise. The 2007 history is in danger of repeating itself.
Reply with quote  #15 
Seems like DMK is in need of a year's supply of Prozac. Because of being so honest please let me know how I can help. 
Reply with quote  #16 
Brother KL don't forget I am a KKY fan. The better he does the happier I will be. The problem arises if the finishes a respectable 3rd with a decent share of the vote. We in SLPP seem to be going out of our way to vilify him and his party. What will happen if we need him in a runoff?
SLPP Brigade
Reply with quote  #17 

Contrary to what many believe, it is KKY that has always been vilifying the SLPP.   I don't think SLPP should lose sleep over KKY's support in the event that he finished third and there is a runoff between SLPP and APC.  KKY and his supporters are NGC first and APC second.  What the Brigadier and SLPP are fighting for is a win on the first ballot.  There is a big chance of this happening if the elections are free and fair.

KKY doing well may be true.  But I don't think that support is strong beyond the contours of the Western Area.  We are monitoring everything on the ground.
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #18 
In my opinion no opposition party will win on the first round. The only party that has a chance of winning on the first round is the incumbent party candidate and that can easily happen if the opposition parties fight one another and do not pay attention to the actual voting process.

In a reasonably free and fair election, I don’t see any candidate exceeding between 35-40% of the total vote.

Make sure the vote is free and prepare for a runoff.
Paopa diehard
Reply with quote  #19 
SLPP: 90%
APC: 8%
NGC: 2%
C4C: 0%
ADC Karangba Kamaraimba: -2%
Reply with quote  #20 
@SLPP Brigade, I hope you're right. I don't think the country can survive another APC term.
IP Sniffer
Reply with quote  #21 
Paopa diehard is our very own Fen P. He has feigned this poor writing skills to avoid any personal confrontation with touts like KL who he meets at parties from time to time. FP is truly pissed off with the nasty lot. The Hajj-Ebola-Mudslide-Disabled Fund tiff-man dem. But as someone accurately pointed out, he is neither a Bio or credible SLPP supporter [yet].

FP is very intelligent with loads of self-confidence and must never be mistaken for the dumb and failed fellas like KL and Eddy Formaldehyde - both rabid tribalists are currently under the illusion that declaring for the phony NGC makes them look smarter than their know IQs.

Unlike these extremely tribal and half-baked  Eddy Formaldehydes, KLs and Musa Kenemas, Fen P is decent enough not to come out against the peoples' General using his real moniker [Fen Plaba]. Another political quagmire FP finds himself in is that his long term buddy and mentor Dr Allie Kabba is championing our next President's campaign. FP has too much respect for Allie's judgment and patriotism to do otherwise. So the "paopa-diehard" is his cunning transition and practice run before declaring for the peoples' General and our next president.  FP please don't chicken out because of KL's propensity for tribal posturing  and munku rants. It is of no consequence. 

When Fen P ultimately comes out therefore, he will come as the patriot that he is and will declare for the General and SLPP.

I am currently in  Salone and traveling round the country. @SLPP Brigade is very correct. Bio is light years ahead of the competition. Samura is not even known in Makeni and Port Loko and Kamarainba  is set to give him a run for his money in these 2 APC Strongholds. KKY and his Okada party whose Diasporan support base do not vote in SL will be beaten by ADP's Mohamed Kamarainba.

Bio is set to clinch this in the first rounds. When he announces his running mate, it will become clear that this is a wrap.
Paopa diehard
Reply with quote  #22 
IP Sniffer. heeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!
I am realy angrified and pissified that u think say I, paopa diehard, has poor writing skills and somwhow lavking in proper education! This is outraging to me. I went to grammar school and i am a very teligent man even though i was good and better in science subjects. So please dont give me backhand insult. Infact i suspect that u are one of those tolongbo ratatatatas like peasant loggy and musu kenema!!!
Or worst of worse, u may even be supporter of that pHD boffun, Kandeh Kitchum yumkella! Astafulie fewu fewu fewu dat that reject from UN will be my presdent. Only general bio is going to be presdent!!!
Why? Becos he is father of democracy!
He loves sarralone!
He is good man!leh we dae go nor mor!
If Brigadear general is rogued in dis election, i will strve myself to death!!!
in protest!!!And Mr Spectacle 007 can watch!!!!
Who is Fen plaba? I chalenge that tupit tolongbo bigful to dare come and say something so that i can addres him properfully!!!
And Sengbe too!!!
And Bra enviable too!!!
They are not dehending our Mada from d slings and slingshots of the tolongbosters.
and that makes me very mad like when people tell me i cant write well. How dare u?????
IP Sniffer
Reply with quote  #23 
Lol PD-FP [sounds like a political party nor to so?] , I give up. If FP does not come out, after your opincol to him then chemically speaking my chemist-paopalite that will be my confirmatory test that you are him or rather he is you.
One last appeal my rascal brother, please endeavor to release FP now and again.  Please naa.

Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #24 
Hello FA,

Please end the current poll, publish results, and start a new one every month leading to the elections.

Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #25 
Comparing current Awoko online polls vs Bintu online poll results

KKY 44/46
JMB 30/15
SMK 18/19

Over 1700 partipated in the Awoko polls. I am sure many votes multiple times. The number participating in Bintu is under 100.

Why is JMB only polling 15% on Bintu? This was his stronghold. Did his supporters vote, tell others to vote to make the man look good?

In the Bintu poll, yeh-yeh PMDC is at 13% and hot on the heels of SLPP’s Bio...ADM is at 8%. Haba! Does that make sense?

Reply with quote  #26 

What do you hope to see in these polls?  You have already speculated that folks are voting multiple times and you still expect any serious JMB supporter to take the polls seriously and vote?  I hope however, that the polls keep deceiving KKY supporters until the fall on their faces in March 2018.
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #27 

Why can’t an organization like SLAJ partner with a polling outfit and run polls on a variety of issues related to the election?
Veronica Sillah
Reply with quote  #28 
New independent sources show Kandeh Yumkella is roping the race.
Spectator 007
Reply with quote  #29 

If you have access to surveys run on the ground where a representative sample of people with phones are polled please share it with us.

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